Bookmakers have slashed the odds on Lewis Hamilton retiring after another difficult outing in Las Vegas.
The seven-time world champion had a nightmare qualifying session, starting the Grand Prix from 20th on the grid. Although he produced a superb opening lap to climb to 13th, he couldn’t threaten the leaders and finished 10th—later upgraded to eighth after both McLarens were disqualified for excessive skid block wear.
Hamilton voiced his frustration over Ferrari’s race strategy on team radio, and after the race labelled his debut season with the team as his “worst ever,” adding that he isn’t excited about the 2026 campaign.
Ferrari team principal Fred Vasseur urged calm, saying, “I understand Lewis’ reaction just after the race, but we need to sit down, stay focused on the last two races, and remember his strong pace in FP1 and FP2. Starting from P20 is never ideal.”
Following the disappointing weekend, betting odds have tightened around Hamilton potentially ending his career soon. Ace Odds now lists him at 4/5 to retire in 2026, 2/1 to retire this year, and 5/1 for 2027. Retirement in 2028 or later is set at 8/1.
As for team moves, Hamilton is 3/1 to make a surprise return to Mercedes, 5/1 to join McLaren, and 8/1 for a switch to Aston Martin.
Asked recently about his contract, Hamilton noted that discussions usually begin a year before expiry and said he is still “a long way” from that point.
The 2025 season continues with the Qatar Grand Prix, where Lando Norris must outscore Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri by more than two points to secure the championship.
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