3 best Dallas Cowboys player prop bets for Week 4 vs Packers

As the Dallas Cowboys prepare to host the Green Bay Packers in Week 4, bettors and fans alike will be eyeing player prop markets to find value amid matchups and adjusted roles. With the Cowboys dealing with some roster adjustments and pocketing offensive weapons, here are three prop bets that stood out heading into Sunday’s showdown.

1. Javonte Williams – Rushing Yards Over ~49.5

One of the most logical prop plays on the Dallas side is Javonte Williams to go over ~49.5 rushing yards. According to BetDecider, Williams has been given that line for this matchup and has exceeded it in each of the first three games.

Williams carries the load as Dallas’ lead back, and given the Packers’ run defense has shown occasional vulnerability, this looks like one of the safer overs. In early games, Williams has averaged ~75.7 yards per game—well above that line.

Of course, game script will matter: if the Cowboys fall behind early, they may be forced to pass more, which limits rushing volume. But with Williams’ consistency and the relative weakness of Green Bay’s front seven vs. the run, this prop has strong appeal.

2. Dak Prescott – Passing Yards Over ~235.5

Another Dallas-centric prop worth targeting is Dak Prescott to exceed ~235.5 passing yards. BetDecider lists that line and notes that Prescott is averaging ~266.7 passing yards per game this season—statistically above the proposition.

What supports this bet is the matchup. Dallas is missing key pieces, and will likely need to lean on the passing game more heavily to stay in the contest. Also, Green Bay’s secondary has had its inconsistencies, making it feasible for Prescott to exploit matchups in the passing game.

Still, it’s not without risk: the Packers’ pass rush and pressure capacity could disrupt Prescott’s rhythm, and the Cowboys’ protection unit has shown flashes of trouble. But overall, this prop offers upside.

3. George Pickens – Receiving Yards Over / Target Share Boost

Although not always packaged in every prop-market preview, George Pickens is a candidate for an over on receiving yards or to see a bump in target volume. In light of CeeDee Lamb’s absence (he is expected to miss multiple weeks with a high-ankle sprain) , receivers like Pickens and tight ends will need to absorb more passing volume.

While I did not find a definitive published line for Pickens in the Week 4 prop previews I examined, several matchups and betting previews (e.g. from BetMGM) list “George Pickens has hit the receiving yards over in 10 of 15” as a favorable trend in general.

Given that, backing Pickens to exceed whatever modest receiving yards line is set (say ~50–60 yards) might pay off. Especially if the Packers prioritize trying to shut down secondary threats, leaving windows for Pickens in one-on-one coverage or intermediate zones.

Wrap & Risk Notes

These three props lean toward the Cowboys’ offensive side, capitalizing on matchups and roster shifts:

Williams Over 49.5 rushing yards is a relatively safe bet given his volume and consistency.

Dak Over 235.5 passing yards leans on necessity—Dallas may need to throw.

Pickens Over (receiving yards / volume boost) is more speculative but fits the narrative.

Caution: always check line movement, injury reports, and the final target/yardage numbers before placing your bet. Weather, game script, and how Green Bay responds defensively will all play into whether these props hit.